BillyBot

2026 March Madness · 15 games · drop -5% · bounce +4% · poll 10s

Max Drop 30%
Min Price 25¢
Vegas Confirm 6pts
Odds DraftKings
Download Movement Download Signals Log
🟢 A-GRADE: 40-65¢ · Bounce 8%+ · Full $20-30 · HARD CEILING 65¢
⚪ Above 65¢: C-grade watch only — no email, no trade
💰 SELL EMAIL: fires at 85¢ on open A-grade positions
⚠️ LIMIT WARN: Position below 50¢ — assess hold vs cut
Favorite Opponent Tipoff Open Current Move Open Tot Total Pregame % Lo / Hi Kalshi Now Score Change Bounce Signal
🏠 LNB-QSE-0407LNB-LUF-0407 Sun 2:30pn/an/an/an/a88%78% / 89%78%-10%0%🔴 pregame dip — wait for tip
LNB-OBR-0407🏠 LNB-SMC-0407 Tue 04/07 3:00pn/an/an/an/a59%52% / 59%52%-7%0%🔴 pregame dip — wait for tip
🏠 LNB-IND-0407LNB-PLA-0407 Sun 2:30pn/an/an/an/a81%75% / 89%76%-5%+1%🔴 pregame dip — wait for tip
🏠 LNB-FCO-0407LNB-OBT-0407 Tue 04/07 6:00pn/an/an/an/a87%85% / 91%85%-2%👁 watch down
🏠 NBA-Wizards-0407 AVOID 11%NBA-Bulls-0407 AVOID 9%Tue 6:00p+6.5+5.5-1.0251.5251.533%33% / 33%33%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%
🏠 NBA-Pacers-0407 AVOID 11%NBA-Wolves-0407 WEAK 39%Tue 6:00p+12.5+12.5232.5232.514%14% / 15%15%0-0 Q0 0.0+1%
🏠 NBA-Nets-0407 AVOID 14%NBA-Bucks-0407 AVOID 25%Tue 6:30p+2.5+2.5220.5219.545%45% / 45%45%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%
🏠 NBA-Raptors-0407 STRONG 55%NBA-Heat-0407 AVERAGE 35%Tue 6:30p-1.5-1.5239.5240.554%54% / 55%55%0-0 Q0 0.0+1%
🏠 NBA-Celtics-0407 ELITE 70%NBA-Charlotte-0407 AVERAGE 41%Tue 7:00p-4.5-4.5221.5220.566%65% / 66%65%0-0 Q0 0.0-1%
🏠 NBA-Pels-0407 WEAK 42%NBA-Jazz-0407 AVOID 17%Tue 7:00p-11.5-11.5242.5242.584%84% / 84%84%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%
🏠 NBA-Warriors-0407 STRONG 58%NBA-Kings-0407 AVOID 16%Tue 9:00p-13.5-14.5-1.0235.5234.589%89% / 89%89%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%
🏠 NBA-Lakers-0407 STRONG 41%NBA-Thunder-0407 AVERAGE 48%Tue 9:30p+17.5+16.5-1.0223.5223.58%7% / 8%7%0-0 Q0 0.0-1%
🏠 NBA-Clippers-0407 STRONG 58%NBA-Mavs-0407 AVOID 18%Tue 9:30p-11.5-11.5237.5237.584%84% / 85%84%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%
🏠 NBA-Suns-0407 STRONG 60%NBA-Rockets-0407 STRONG 50%Tue 10:00p-1.5-1.5220.5220.551%50% / 51%51%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%
🏠 LNB-COM-0407LNB-UNI-0407 Wed 04/08 3:00pn/an/an/an/a93%92% / 94%92%-1%
TimeTeamOppTipoffPregameEntry ¢Lo ¢BounceGradeVegas MoveOpen SpreadScoreSignal
No signals logged yet this session.

📊 Morning Brief — 2026-04-07

**TODAY'S PREVIEW** The 2026 NBA season average home favorite win rate is 55% -- teams priced above 55c are market favorites, below 55c are undervalued. **TIER 1 HOME FAVORITES:** Toronto Raptors (54c, -1.5) sit just 1c below fair value in a near-pick'em against Miami at 6:30p. The tight spread suggests volatile live pricing, making this a prime bounce candidate if early action favors the Heat. Watch for any pregame line movement that could push this into the 40s during live play. Boston Celtics (66c, -4.5) are priced 11c above fair value as a moderate home favorite against Charlotte at 7:00p. This overvaluation on a reasonable spread creates excellent bounce potential if the Hornets show early fight. The Celtics' premium pricing makes them vulnerable to any first-half struggles. New Orleans Pelicans (84c, -11.5) sit 29c below fair value as heavy home chalk against Utah at 7:00p. Despite the large spread, this massive undervaluation suggests strong bounce potential if the Jazz keep it competitive early. The 84c price needs significant justification to hold. Golden State Warriors (89c, -13.5) are priced 34c below fair value as the night's heaviest home favorite against Sacramento at 9:00p. This extreme chalk position against a division rival creates bounce risk if the Kings show any early resistance. The 89c price leaves minimal margin for error. LA Clippers (84c, -11.5) match the Pelicans at 29c below fair value, hosting Dallas at 9:30p. The late tipoff and Mavericks' road capability suggest bounce potential if this game stays competitive. Watch for any Luka-related news that could shift early action. Phoenix Suns (51c, -1.5) are priced 4c below fair value in essentially a pick'em against Houston at 10:00p. The late start and minimal spread create excellent bounce conditions if the Rockets grab an early lead. This near-even game offers the cleanest setup for live volatility. **TIER 2 NEAR-EVEN:** Brooklyn Nets (45c, +2.5) are slight home underdogs against Milwaukee at 6:30p. This near-even pricing against the Bucks creates moderate bounce potential, though the 45c starting point limits upside compared to true home favorites. **HOME DOGS (NO-PLAY):** Washington Wizards (33c, +6.5) vs Chicago, Indiana Pacers (14c, +12.5) vs Minnesota, and LA Lakers (8c, +17.5) vs Oklahoma City all fall below the 40c threshold for home dog consideration. **TONIGHT'S PLAY PRIORITY:** 1. Phoenix Suns (bounce watch 47c) -- late tipoff and pick'em spread create maximum live volatility potential 2. Toronto Raptors (bounce watch 47c) -- near-even pricing with tight spread offers clean bounce setup 3. Boston Celtics (bounce watch 47c) -- 11c overvaluation on moderate spread provides cushion for bounce 4. New Orleans Pelicans (bounce watch 47c) -- 29c undervaluation despite heavy chalk creates value opportunity 5. LA Clippers (bounce watch 47c) -- late game and Dallas road strength support bounce potential 6. Golden State Warriors (bounce watch 47c) -- extreme 89c chalk vulnerable despite large spread **SITTING BUYS** TORONTO RAPTORS | Buy at 45c | Near-even game with tight spread creates prime bounce conditions PHOENIX SUNS | Buy at 44c | Pick'em late game offers cleanest live volatility setup BOSTON CELTICS | Buy at 42c | Overvalued 11c above fair with moderate spread vulnerability NEW ORLEANS PELICANS | Buy at 40c | Massive undervaluation despite heavy chalk creates value LA CLIPPERS | Buy at 38c | Late tipoff and Dallas capability support bounce potential GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS | Buy at 35c | Extreme 89c chalk leaves minimal margin for error BROOKLYN NETS | Buy at 25c | Tier 2 near-even with limited upside from 45c start CHICAGO BULLS | Buy at 15c | Home dog no-play, buying away team per framework MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES | Buy at 15c | Home dog no-play, buying away team per framework OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER | Buy at 15c | Home dog no-play, buying away team per framework **YESTERDAY'S REVIEW** No NBA data available for review.
Kalshi: 12:38:36  ·  Odds: 12:00:22