BillyBot

2026 March Madness · 15 games · drop -5% · bounce +4% · poll 10s

Max Drop 30%
Min Price 25¢
Vegas Confirm 6pts
Odds DraftKings
Download Movement Download Signals Log
🟢 A-GRADE: 40-65¢ · Bounce 8%+ · Full $20-30 · HARD CEILING 65¢
⚪ Above 65¢: C-grade watch only — no email, no trade
💰 SELL EMAIL: fires at 85¢ on open A-grade positions
⚠️ LIMIT WARN: Position below 50¢ — assess hold vs cut
Favorite Opponent Tipoff Open Current Move Open Tot Total Pregame % Lo / Hi Kalshi Now Score Change Bounce Signal
🏠 NBA-Heat-0412 STRONG 62%▼50%NBA-Hawks-0412 STRONG 50%▼33%Sun 5:00p-4.5-9.5-5.0241.5241.564%64% / 78%78%0-0 Q0 0.0+14%+8%🏆 dominant — game likely decided
🏠 NBA-Thunder-0412 ELITE 83%▲100%NBA-Suns-0412 WEAK 22%▼0%Sun 7:30p-5.5-7.5-2.0213.5212.570%70% / 75%75%0-0 Q0 0.0+5%0%🏆 dominant — game likely decided
🏠 NBA-Celtics-0412 AVERAGE 33%NBA-Magic-0412 WEAK 40%▲100%Sun 5:00p+12.5+12.5—221.5221.515%15% / 15%15%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%—
🏠 NBA-Cavs-0412 STRONG 63%▲75%NBA-Wizards-0412 AVOID 16%→14%Sun 5:00p-10.5-10.5—235.5235.583%82% / 83%83%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%—
🏠 NBA-Pacers-0412 AVOID 11%▲25%NBA-Pistons-0412 WEAK 40%▲75%Sun 5:00p+14.5+14.5—229.5230.512%11% / 12%12%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%—
🏠 NBA-Knicks-0412 AVERAGE 33%NBA-Charlotte-0412 AVERAGE 53%▲100%Sun 5:00p+13.5+14.5+1.0217.5216.514%13% / 14%13%0-0 Q0 0.0-1%—
🏠 NBA-Sixers-0412 STRONG 55%▲100%NBA-Bucks-0412 AVERAGE 32%▼25%Sun 5:00p-15.5-15.5—226.5226.591%91% / 92%92%0-0 Q0 0.0+1%—
🏠 NBA-Raptors-0412 STRONG 55%▲66%NBA-Nets-0412 WEAK 20%▼0%Sun 5:00p-23.5-24.5-1.0219.5219.597%97% / 98%98%0-0 Q0 0.0+1%—
🏠 NBA-Mavs-0412 WEAK 37%NBA-Bulls-0412 AVERAGE 37%▼0%Sun 7:30p-6.5-6.5—249.5248.571%71% / 71%71%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%—
🏠 NBA-Rockets-0412 ELITE 71%▲80%NBA-Grizzlies-0412 WEAK 22%▼0%Sun 7:30p-13.5-14.5-1.0225.5227.589%89% / 90%90%0-0 Q0 0.0+1%—
🏠 NBA-Wolves-0412 ELITE 65%▼50%NBA-Pels-0412 AVOID 15%▼0%Sun 7:30p-5.5-5.5—236.5237.568%67% / 68%67%0-0 Q0 0.0-1%—
🏠 NBA-Spurs-0412 ELITE 80%▲100%NBA-Nuggets-0412 STRONG 53%Sun 7:30p-11.5-11.5—232.5233.582%82% / 83%83%0-0 Q0 0.0+1%—
🏠 NBA-Lakers-0412 ELITE 66%▲100%NBA-Jazz-0412 AVOID 17%▼0%Sun 7:30p-13.5-13.5—236.5235.589%89% / 89%89%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%—
🏠 NBA-Clippers-0412 STRONG 58%▼50%NBA-Warriors-0412 AVERAGE 31%▼0%Sun 7:30p-6.5-6.5—226.5226.571%70% / 71%70%0-0 Q0 0.0-1%—
🏠 NBA-Blazers-0412 AVERAGE 54%▲80%NBA-Kings-0412 AVOID 16%→20%Sun 7:30p-16.5-17.5-1.0227.5226.594%94% / 94%94%0-0 Q0 0.0+0%—
TimeTeamOppTipoffPregameEntry ¢Lo ¢BounceGradeVegas MoveOpen SpreadScoreSignal
2026-04-10 21:25:41NBA-Blazers-0410NBA-Clippers-0410Fri 9:00p53%¢52¢44+8%A+0.0-1.512-12 Q1 8:29BUY YES [A]
2026-04-10 21:25:27NBA-Blazers-0410NBA-Clippers-0410Fri 9:00p53%¢50¢44+6%B+0.0-1.512-12 Q1 8:29BUY YES [B]
2026-04-10 18:49:32NBA-Charlotte-0410NBA-Pistons-0410Fri 6:00p64%¢58¢51+7%B-1.0-5.541-46 Q2 8:02BUY YES [B]
2026-04-10 18:45:46NBA-Charlotte-0410NBA-Pistons-0410Fri 6:00p64%¢63¢51+12%A-1.0-5.535-36 Q2 10:46BUY YES [A]
2026-04-09 21:18:52NBA-Warriors-0409NBA-Lakers-0409Thu 9:00p64%¢42¢37+5%B+3.0-4.54-9 Q1 8:35BUY YES [B]
2026-04-09 20:45:37NBA-Knicks-0409NBA-Celtics-0409Thu 6:30p63%¢54¢46+8%A+3.0-4.5100-101 Q4 3:22BUY YES [A]
2026-04-09 20:45:24NBA-Knicks-0409NBA-Celtics-0409Thu 6:30p63%¢52¢46+6%B+3.0-4.5100-101 Q4 3:22BUY YES [B]
2026-04-09 20:29:08NBA-Knicks-0409NBA-Celtics-0409Thu 6:30p63%¢57¢48+9%A+1.0-4.583-83 Q4 11:20BUY YES [A]
2026-04-09 19:13:39NBA-Knicks-0409NBA-Celtics-0409Thu 6:30p63%¢58¢50+8%A+1.0-4.526-29 Q2 11:26BUY YES [A]
2026-04-09 19:05:41NBA-Knicks-0409NBA-Celtics-0409Thu 6:30p63%¢57¢50+7%B+1.0-4.517-21 Q1 1:58BUY YES [B]
2026-04-09 18:26:11NBA-Raptors-0409NBA-Heat-0409Thu 6:00p63%¢59¢51+8%A+1.0-4.513-16 Q1 5:54BUY YES [A]
2026-04-09 18:25:36NBA-Raptors-0409NBA-Heat-0409Thu 6:00p63%¢58¢51+7%B+1.0-4.513-16 Q1 5:54BUY YES [B]
2026-04-08 20:47:59NBA-Spurs-0408NBA-Blazers-0408Wed 8:30p60%¢60¢51+9%A+0.0-3.510-8 Q1 8:12BUY YES [A]
2026-04-08 20:46:47NBA-Spurs-0408NBA-Blazers-0408Wed 8:30p60%¢58¢51+7%B+0.0-3.57-8 Q1 8:43BUY YES [B]
2026-04-08 19:12:02NBA-Cavs-0408NBA-Hawks-0408Wed 6:00p53%¢42¢34+8%A-2.0-1.5HALF 60-67BUY YES [A]
2026-04-08 19:10:51NBA-Cavs-0408NBA-Hawks-0408Wed 6:00p53%¢40¢34+6%B-2.0-1.5HALF 60-67BUY YES [B]
2026-04-07 23:05:40NBA-Warriors-0407NBA-Kings-0407Tue 9:00p89%¢65¢59+6%A-3.0-13.595-97 Q4 6:36BUY YES [A]
2026-04-07 22:17:22NBA-Suns-0407NBA-Rockets-0407Tue 10:00p51%¢54¢45+9%A+0.0-1.58-5 Q1 9:18BUY YES [A]
2026-04-07 19:52:22NBA-Celtics-0407NBA-Charlotte-0407Tue 7:00p66%¢47¢42+5%B+1.0-4.530-39 Q2 8:12BUY YES [B]
2026-04-07 19:41:47NBA-Celtics-0407NBA-Charlotte-0407Tue 7:00p66%¢52¢42+10%A+1.0-4.523-31 Q2 11:13BUY YES [A]
2026-04-07 19:20:30NBA-Celtics-0407NBA-Charlotte-0407Tue 7:00p66%¢61¢56+5%B+0.0-4.513-16 Q1 6:17BUY YES [B]
2026-04-07 19:20:03NBA-Celtics-0407NBA-Charlotte-0407Tue 7:00p66%¢64¢56+8%A+0.0-4.513-13 Q1 6:41BUY YES [A]

📅 Yesterday's Review — Saturday, April 11

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NBA Losses
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Bounces
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Buy Signals
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Sell Signals

🏀 NBA

TeamPregameLowHighResultSignalsScore

🎯 BillyBot Signals Deep Dive — Saturday, April 11

TeamGradePregameEntryBounceScore at SignalResult
No signal or volatility data available for analysis.

📌 Today's Analysis

• Cleveland Cavaliers opens at 83c as home favorite (-10.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Miami Heat opens at 64c as home favorite (-4.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Philadelphia 76ers opens at 91c as home favorite (-15.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Toronto Raptors opens at 97c as home favorite (-23.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Dallas Mavericks opens at 71c as home favorite (-6.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Houston Rockets opens at 89c as home favorite (-13.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Minnesota Timberwolves opens at 68c as home favorite (-5.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Oklahoma City Thunder opens at 70c as home favorite (-5.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• San Antonio Spurs opens at 82c as home favorite (-11.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Los Angeles Lakers opens at 89c as home favorite (-13.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• LA Clippers opens at 71c as home favorite (-6.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below
• Portland Trail Blazers opens at 94c as home favorite (-16.5 spread) — bounce watch if price drops to 47c or below

📋 Signal Framework

SignalTriggerAction
🟢 BUY WARNINGHome favorite drops to 47c or below mid-gameConsider entry — your call
🔔 SELL WARNINGPrice recovers to 70c after entryConsider exit — your call
🚫 No BUY SignalQ4 with less than 8 minutes remainingToo late to enter
⚠️ Limit WarnPosition drops below 50c after entryAssess hold vs cut

📊 Morning Brief — 2026-04-12

## TODAY'S PREVIEW The 2026 NBA season average home favorite win rate is 55% -- teams priced above 55c are market favorites, below 55c are undervalued. **TIER 1 HOME FAVORITES:** Toronto Raptors (97c) face Brooklyn Nets with a massive -23.5 spread at 5:00p, trading 42c above fair value as the heaviest chalk on the board. This extreme pricing makes bounce candidacy low unless garbage time scenarios emerge. The Raptors' dominant home form justifies premium pricing but leaves little room for live market movement. Philadelphia 76ers (91c) host Milwaukee Bucks laying -15.5 points at 5:00p, priced 36c above fair value in what should be a competitive Eastern Conference matchup. The large spread suggests market expects Bucks' road struggles to continue. Moderate bounce potential exists if early game flow favors Milwaukee. Houston Rockets (89c) and Los Angeles Lakers (89c) both sit 34c above fair value with identical -13.5 spreads. Rockets host Memphis Grizzlies at 7:30p while Lakers face Utah Jazz at the same time. Both represent solid home favorites with moderate bounce candidacy if visiting teams show early life. Portland Trail Blazers (94c) lay -16.5 against Sacramento Kings at 7:30p, trading 39c above fair value. This Pacific Northwest matchup features two inconsistent teams with the large spread reflecting home court advantage. Bounce potential exists if Kings compete early. Cleveland Cavaliers (83c) host Washington Wizards with -10.5 spread at 5:00p, priced 28c above fair value. The Cavaliers' strong home record supports this pricing against a struggling Wizards squad. Moderate bounce candidacy if Washington shows unexpected resistance. San Antonio Spurs (82c) face Denver Nuggets laying -11.5 at 7:30p, sitting 27c above fair value. This Western Conference clash pits Spurs' home strength against Nuggets' road inconsistency. Decent bounce potential given Denver's talent level. Dallas Mavericks (71c), LA Clippers (71c) both trade 16c above fair value with -6.5 spreads. Mavericks host Chicago Bulls while Clippers face Golden State Warriors, both at 7:30p. These smaller spreads in competitive matchups offer strong bounce candidacy. Oklahoma City Thunder (70c) lay -5.5 against Phoenix Suns at 7:30p, priced 15c above fair value. This tight Western Conference battle offers excellent bounce potential given the small spread and competitive nature. Minnesota Timberwolves (68c) host New Orleans Pelicans with -5.5 spread at 7:30p, trading 13c above fair value. Another close spread game with strong bounce candidacy if Pelicans compete. Miami Heat (64c) face Atlanta Hawks laying -4.5 at 5:00p, sitting just 9c above fair value. This Southeast Division rivalry with the smallest spread offers the highest bounce probability among Tier 1 favorites. **HOME DOGS (NO-PLAY):** Boston Celtics (15c), Indiana Pacers (12c), and New York Knicks (14c) all receive +12.5 to +14.5 points in their respective 5:00p matchups. These home underdogs fall outside our betting framework. **TONIGHT'S PLAY PRIORITY:** 1. Miami Heat (64c) - smallest spread at -4.5 with only 9c premium suggests highest bounce probability to 47c trigger 2. Minnesota Timberwolves (68c) - tight -5.5 spread with moderate 13c premium offers strong live movement potential 3. Oklahoma City Thunder (70c) - competitive Western matchup with small spread likely produces early volatility 4. Dallas Mavericks (71c) - Bulls capable of early runs that could trigger bounce in this -6.5 game 5. LA Clippers (71c) - Warriors' talent level makes this -6.5 spread vulnerable to early swings ## SITTING BUYS MIAMI HEAT | Buy at 45c | Smallest Tier 1 premium with tight spread offers highest bounce probability MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES | Buy at 44c | Strong bounce candidate with competitive -5.5 spread OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER | Buy at 44c | Tight Western Conference matchup likely to see early volatility DALLAS MAVERICKS | Buy at 43c | Bulls capable of early runs in manageable -6.5 game LA CLIPPERS | Buy at 43c | Warriors talent makes this spread vulnerable to movement SAN ANTONIO SPURS | Buy at 42c | Nuggets talent could trigger bounce despite -11.5 spread CLEVELAND CAVALIERS | Buy at 38c | Moderate bounce potential if Wizards compete early HOUSTON ROCKETS | Buy at 35c | Heavy chalk at 34c above fair but Grizzlies can score LOS ANGELES LAKERS | Buy at 35c | Expensive favorite but Jazz capable of runs PHILADELPHIA 76ers | Buy at 32c | Large spread limits bounce potential despite Bucks talent PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS | Buy at 28c | Heavy favorite with inconsistent opponent limits movement TORONTO RAPTORS | Buy at 18c | Heaviest chalk on board, catastrophe insurance only ORLANDO MAGIC | Buy at 15c | Home dog no-play, buying away favorite floor DETROIT PISTONS | Buy at 15c | Home dog no-play, buying away favorite floor CHARLOTTE HORNETS | Buy at 15c | Home dog no-play, buying away favorite floor ## YESTERDAY'S REVIEW No NBA games yesterday - no data available for review.
Kalshi: 15:05:57  ·  Odds: 15:00:37