BillyBot

2026 March Madness · 6 games · drop -5% · bounce +4% · poll 10s

Max Drop 30%
Min Price 25¢
Vegas Confirm 6pts
Odds DraftKings
Download Movement Download Signals Log
🟢 A-GRADE: 40-65¢ · Bounce 8%+ · Full $20-30 · HARD CEILING 65¢
⚪ Above 65¢: C-grade watch only — no email, no trade
💰 SELL EMAIL: fires at 85¢ on open A-grade positions
⚠️ LIMIT WARN: Position below 50¢ — assess hold vs cut
Favorite Opponent Tipoff Open Current Move Open Tot Total Pregame % Lo / Hi Kalshi Now Score Change Bounce Signal
🏠 NBA-Hawks-0406 STRONG 56%NBA-Knicks-0406 AVERAGE 30%Mon 6:00p-1.5-1.5—226.5226.553%53% / 53%FINAL—FINAL 105-108
🏠 NBA-Magic-0406 STRONG 36%NBA-Pistons-0406 WEAK 40%Mon 6:00p+1.5+1.5—222.5222.547%47% / 47%FINAL—FINAL 123-107
🏠 NBA-Grizzlies-0406 WEAK 21%NBA-Cavs-0406 AVOID 32%Mon 7:00p+13.5+13.5—231.5231.512%12% / 12%FINAL—FINAL 126-142
🏠 NBA-Spurs-0406 ELITE 80%NBA-Sixers-0406 AVERAGE 38%Mon 7:00p-9.5-9.5—236.5236.577%77% / 77%FINAL—FINAL 115-102
🏠 NBA-Nuggets-0406 STRONG 63%NBA-Blazers-0406 WEAK 23%Mon 8:00p-7.5-7.5—236.5236.575%75% / 75%FINAL—FINAL 137-132
MCBB-MICH-0406MCBB-CONN-0406 Mon 7:50p-6.5-6.5—146.5146.574%74% / 74%FINAL—FINAL 69-63
TimeTeamOppTipoffPregameEntry ¢Lo ¢BounceGradeVegas MoveOpen SpreadScoreSignal
No signals logged yet this session.

📊 Morning Brief — 2026-04-06

## TODAY'S PREVIEW The 2026 NBA season average home favorite win rate is 55% -- teams priced above 55c are market favorites, below 55c are undervalued. **San Antonio Spurs 78c (-8.5) vs Philadelphia 76ers | 7:00p** - Strong bounce candidate given 23c below fair value pricing and large spread suggesting blowout potential for live swings. The Spurs are significantly undervalued at 78c despite decent home court and facing a road 76ers squad. Watch for any early deficit to push price toward 47c trigger. **Denver Nuggets 77c (-8.5) vs Portland Trail Blazers | 8:00p** - Excellent bounce setup at 22c below fair value with Portland's rebuilding roster providing volatility opportunity. Nuggets at home should be closer to market rate but Trail Blazers' unpredictable play creates live betting swings. Prime candidate for 47c dip on any slow start. **Atlanta Hawks 53c (-1.5) vs New York Knicks | 6:00p** - Minimal bounce potential just 2c below fair value in tight spread game. Hawks-Knicks rivalry with small spread suggests close contest throughout limiting major price swings. Low priority for bounce plays given narrow margin to 47c threshold. **Orlando Magic 43c (+2.5) vs Detroit Pistons | 6:00p** - Near-even matchup with limited bounce appeal above 30c threshold for Tier 2 plays. Magic getting points at home against inconsistent Pistons creates balanced betting environment. Watch for 30c dip but expect stability. **Memphis Grizzlies 10c (+15.5) vs Cleveland Cavaliers | 7:00p** - No-play home dog scenario with massive spread. Grizzlies priced as heavy underdog against Cavaliers makes this unsuitable for standard bounce strategy. **TONIGHT'S PLAY PRIORITY:** 1. Denver Nuggets - best value at 22c below fair with volatile opponent. 2. San Antonio Spurs - 23c undervalued but 76ers more competitive than Portland. 3. Atlanta Hawks - minimal edge near fair value. ## SITTING BUYS **Atlanta Hawks | Buy at 22c | Near fair value home favorite deserves position below 25c** **Detroit Pistons | Buy at 18c | Away team against inconsistent Magic home court** **Cleveland Cavaliers | Buy at 15c | Heavy road favorite against depleted Grizzlies roster** **Philadelphia 76ers | Buy at 15c | Away team against undervalued but still uncertain Spurs** **Portland Trail Blazers | Buy at 15c | Away team against overvalued Nuggets despite talent gap** ## YESTERDAY'S REVIEW **Boston Celtics:** 80c pregame, 61c low, WIN - BUY fired 78c successful **Brooklyn Nets:** 61c pregame, 27c low, WIN - BOUNCE SETUP successful, BUY fired 50c successful **Chicago Bulls:** 21c pregame, 1c low, LOSS - BUY fired 25c failed **Milwaukee Bucks:** 69c pregame, 61c low, WIN - BUY fired 68c successful **Oklahoma City Thunder:** 98c pregame, 98c low, WIN - No significant movement **Cleveland Cavaliers:** 93c pregame, 65c low, outcome unclear - BUY fired 88c pending **Minnesota Timberwolves:** 46c pregame, 28c low, outcome unclear **New Orleans Pelicans:** 37c pregame, 26c low, outcome unclear - BUY fired 33c pending **Dallas Mavericks:** 47c pregame, 47c low, outcome unclear **Sacramento Kings:** 15c pregame, 13c low, outcome unclear **Golden State Warriors:** 41c pregame, 40c low, outcome unclear
Kalshi: 09:34:04  ·  Odds: 08:59:20